Thu Aug 21 17:19:38 EDT 2008 WHXX01 KWBC 211833 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1833 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942008) 20080821 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 1800 080822 0600 080822 1800 080823 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.2N 48.8W 13.1N 51.6W 14.5N 54.9W 15.7N 58.3W BAMD 12.2N 48.8W 12.9N 51.1W 13.7N 53.6W 14.5N 56.4W BAMM 12.2N 48.8W 12.7N 51.2W 13.5N 53.9W 14.3N 56.9W LBAR 12.2N 48.8W 12.7N 51.3W 13.7N 54.4W 14.9N 57.9W SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 46KTS DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 46KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 1800 080824 1800 080825 1800 080826 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.0N 61.6W 19.3N 68.0W 21.6N 71.9W 23.2N 74.3W BAMD 15.3N 59.5W 17.3N 65.3W 19.7N 69.6W 21.1N 71.8W BAMM 15.4N 60.1W 17.5N 66.0W 19.7N 70.5W 21.2N 73.1W LBAR 16.3N 61.5W 19.6N 67.4W 23.2N 69.5W 31.7N 64.8W SHIP 57KTS 76KTS 86KTS 92KTS DSHP 57KTS 76KTS 56KTS 68KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.2N LONCUR = 48.8W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 12.1N LONM12 = 45.6W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 = 15KT LATM24 = 12.0N LONM24 = 43.0W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM WHXX01 KWBC 211832 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1832 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY (AL062008) 20080821 1800 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 1800 080822 0600 080822 1800 080823 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.4N 81.1W 30.0N 82.9W 30.3N 84.6W 30.6N 86.5W BAMD 29.4N 81.1W 29.9N 82.2W 30.4N 83.6W 31.0N 84.9W BAMM 29.4N 81.1W 29.7N 82.5W 30.0N 83.9W 30.3N 85.5W LBAR 29.4N 81.1W 29.5N 81.7W 29.7N 83.0W 29.8N 84.4W SHIP 50KTS 53KTS 56KTS 57KTS DSHP 50KTS 34KTS 30KTS 34KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 1800 080824 1800 080825 1800 080826 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 30.9N 88.2W 30.8N 91.1W 29.9N 93.3W 29.3N 94.4W BAMD 31.5N 86.2W 32.2N 88.2W 32.8N 88.7W 35.4N 85.7W BAMM 30.7N 86.9W 31.1N 89.3W 30.9N 90.5W 31.4N 89.8W LBAR 30.0N 86.0W 31.3N 88.0W 32.8N 90.0W 34.8N 88.4W SHIP 59KTS 55KTS 49KTS 38KTS DSHP 35KTS 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 29.4N LONCUR = 81.1W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 2KT LATM12 = 29.1N LONM12 = 80.7W DIRM12 = 330DEG SPDM12 = 2KT LATM24 = 28.7N LONM24 = 80.6W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 130NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 100NM WHXX01 KWBC 211246 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1246 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942008) 20080821 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 1200 080822 0000 080822 1200 080823 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.2N 47.2W 13.3N 49.6W 14.3N 52.6W 15.5N 55.6W BAMD 12.2N 47.2W 12.8N 49.1W 13.5N 51.5W 14.2N 54.2W BAMM 12.2N 47.2W 12.6N 49.2W 13.0N 51.6W 13.7N 54.4W LBAR 12.2N 47.2W 12.8N 49.7W 13.6N 52.7W 14.9N 55.9W SHIP 25KTS 29KTS 36KTS 45KTS DSHP 25KTS 29KTS 36KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 1200 080824 1200 080825 1200 080826 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.7N 59.1W 19.3N 65.5W 21.9N 69.7W 23.5N 71.7W BAMD 14.8N 57.2W 16.4N 63.2W 18.3N 68.5W 19.6N 72.2W BAMM 14.5N 57.6W 16.4N 63.5W 18.0N 68.8W 19.3N 72.8W LBAR 16.3N 59.4W 19.5N 65.8W 22.8N 68.9W 22.4N 68.9W SHIP 54KTS 71KTS 85KTS 91KTS DSHP 54KTS 71KTS 85KTS 46KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.2N LONCUR = 47.2W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 12.0N LONM12 = 44.2W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 13KT LATM24 = 12.1N LONM24 = 41.8W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM WHXX01 KWBC 211221 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1221 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY (AL062008) 20080821 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 1200 080822 0000 080822 1200 080823 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.2N 80.7W 30.1N 82.0W 31.0N 83.5W 31.6N 85.2W BAMD 29.2N 80.7W 29.9N 81.3W 30.5N 82.4W 31.3N 83.5W BAMM 29.2N 80.7W 29.8N 81.4W 30.4N 82.4W 31.1N 83.7W LBAR 29.2N 80.7W 29.5N 81.1W 29.9N 82.1W 30.1N 83.3W SHIP 50KTS 54KTS 56KTS 59KTS DSHP 50KTS 40KTS 31KTS 33KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 1200 080824 1200 080825 1200 080826 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 32.4N 86.8W 32.8N 90.2W 31.3N 93.4W 30.2N 94.4W BAMD 32.0N 84.7W 33.3N 86.3W 34.2N 86.4W 36.5N 82.5W BAMM 31.9N 85.1W 33.2N 87.6W 33.1N 89.3W 33.3N 88.8W LBAR 30.6N 84.6W 32.2N 86.8W 34.0N 88.2W 36.6N 85.1W SHIP 58KTS 55KTS 48KTS 39KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 29.2N LONCUR = 80.7W DIRCUR = 350DEG SPDCUR = 1KT LATM12 = 28.9N LONM12 = 80.5W DIRM12 = 348DEG SPDM12 = 2KT LATM24 = 28.4N LONM24 = 80.6W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 50KT CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 130NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 100NM WHXX01 KWBC 210643 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0643 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL942008) 20080821 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 0600 080821 1800 080822 0600 080822 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 12.1N 45.5W 13.3N 47.9W 14.2N 50.7W 15.5N 53.7W BAMD 12.1N 45.5W 12.6N 47.3W 13.3N 49.6W 14.1N 52.3W BAMM 12.1N 45.5W 12.4N 47.5W 12.7N 50.0W 13.4N 52.9W LBAR 12.1N 45.5W 12.5N 47.6W 13.5N 50.4W 14.7N 53.5W SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 45KTS DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 37KTS 45KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 0600 080824 0600 080825 0600 080826 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 16.5N 56.8W 18.6N 63.3W 20.9N 67.8W 22.4N 70.4W BAMD 14.7N 55.2W 16.2N 61.5W 17.9N 67.1W 19.4N 71.1W BAMM 14.0N 56.0W 15.5N 62.4W 16.8N 68.4W 18.0N 73.6W LBAR 16.1N 56.8W 19.2N 63.5W 22.6N 67.0W 22.5N 67.1W SHIP 55KTS 72KTS 83KTS 89KTS DSHP 55KTS 72KTS 83KTS 89KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 12.1N LONCUR = 45.5W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR = 12KT LATM12 = 12.0N LONM12 = 43.0W DIRM12 = 268DEG SPDM12 = 12KT LATM24 = 12.2N LONM24 = 40.4W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 45NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM WHXX01 KWBC 210622 CHGHUR TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0622 UTC THU AUG 21 2008 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FAY (AL062008) 20080821 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS... 080821 0600 080821 1800 080822 0600 080822 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 29.1N 80.7W 29.8N 82.0W 30.4N 83.7W 30.9N 85.2W BAMD 29.1N 80.7W 29.8N 81.4W 30.4N 82.5W 31.2N 83.9W BAMM 29.1N 80.7W 29.6N 81.7W 30.0N 83.0W 30.5N 84.4W LBAR 29.1N 80.7W 29.5N 80.9W 29.9N 81.9W 30.1N 83.0W SHIP 50KTS 55KTS 59KTS 62KTS DSHP 50KTS 39KTS 31KTS 32KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS... 080823 0600 080824 0600 080825 0600 080826 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 31.2N 87.0W 31.7N 90.3W 30.7N 93.5W 29.1N 95.6W BAMD 32.0N 85.2W 33.5N 87.6W 33.8N 88.6W 34.1N 88.3W BAMM 31.0N 85.9W 32.1N 88.9W 31.8N 91.3W 30.9N 93.0W LBAR 30.8N 84.3W 32.4N 86.3W 34.1N 88.8W 35.2N 87.5W SHIP 64KTS 59KTS 49KTS 39KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 27KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 29.1N LONCUR = 80.7W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR = 3KT LATM12 = 28.7N LONM12 = 80.6W DIRM12 = 10DEG SPDM12 = 3KT LATM24 = 28.0N LONM24 = 80.6W WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 50NM WNDM12 = 45KT CENPRS = 993MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 250NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 130NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 100NM